Hi gwalmer. I asked a similar question on this forum a month ago. Fiddlerman, who should know since he personally is involved with Asian instrument import, said no significant price increase has occurred yet.
I can tell you that I have noticed something odd with eBay regarding the second hand market. I scan several categories of auctions on a daily basis and, so far, September has been unique. I had thought that with the start of school that the site should be flooded with instruments. The month is more than half gone and I have yet to see anything of interest.
Multiple “professional” auctions were posted on the same day for new electric violin packages with shipping and, a few days later, new acoustic cello packages with shipping with buy it now prices much less than the cost of postage. I think these were a fraud (50 auctions for cellos at $25 is still $1225 when you don’t send anything).
Without deviation from the norm, progress is not possible. —Frank Zappa
The future is already here—it’s just not very evenly distributed. —William Gibson
The Office of the United States Trade Representative posted this crazy long list of 5,745 items covered by the new $200 billion in tariffs on Chinese imports:
It starts with 10% on September 24th and goes up to 25% in January.
This is the Trade Office article that links to the above pdf: